Feb
2
Thomson Reuters: Owners and Expectations
Filed Under B2B, Big Data, Blog, Cengage, data analytics, Education, Financial services, healthcare, Industry Analysis, internet, news media, Reed Elsevier, Thomson | Leave a Comment
Thomson Reuters recent decision to sell over 60% of its share in its Finance and Risk division to Blackstone has met with a mixed market reaction. Analysts are divided on why this was done and what it means. Here is an interpretation gathered from internal and external evidence.
BACKGROUND
Thomson Reuters brought together the financial services interests of both Thomson and Reuters, alongside Thomson’s US-dominant legal and tax information services. Reuters had been a public corporation in the UK, owned by the newspapers who bought its services (like PA or AP). Its culture was very much a market services culture. Thomson was a Canadian corporation in newspapers and radio that sold its major interests there in the late 1950s to move to the UK, and, fuelled by its North Sea oil investments, developed into one of the largest UK media groups. Its culture was as the investment portfolio of founder Roy Thomson, who became the first Lord Thomson of Fleet. The group acquired ruthlessly through the 1960s and 1970s until union difficulties and a negative view of the future of the UK outside of the EU led to the sale of most of the UK assets and the rebase-ing of the company in the US. This strategy was created by Roy’s son Ken Thomson, who led the company after his father’s death and who retained the family holding, 70 % of group equity, in the family’s Woodbridge Trust in Toronto.
Under Ken Thomson the group expanded still further from its Stamford, Conn. HQ, but it also began to vigorously re-assess its holdings as well. Disposals became as frequent as acquisitions and ex Thomson companies are widespread: Thomson regional newspapers (Trinity Mirror), Thomson B2B (EMAP), Thomson Learning (Cengage), Thomson Nationals (News International) and, more recently, Thomson Healthcare (Truven IBM), and Thomson Science (Clarivate Analytics). The idea of disposals and portfolio management is hard-wired into this group.
Under David, the third Lord Thomson, now a man in his mid 50s, a serious attempt was made to focus and reconstruct. The purchase of Reuters, while enriching the cash-starved newspaper owners, was intended to provide a competitive bulwark against Bloomberg . It was also argued that the Reuters managers would refresh their Thomson senior colleagues – many of whom took the hint and left. Finally, here was a chance to put together something wider in scope than Bloomberg: a solutions company for the financial services and legal and tax requirements of the worlds corporates.
This strategy appears to have failed. The Woodbridge Trust, which in the Reuters deal had diluted itself to 53% of the group, has now increased its holding through share buy backs, but is relinquishing its position in the Financial Services and Risk side for $17 bn to Blackstone.
WHY?
Decisions of this type do not arise overnight and this one had its makings in the original Thomson Reuters deal:
That agreement did not work out as envisaged. The combination of Thomson Financial and Reuters hardly rocked Bloomberg, though the latter was more expensive. The management team was not as effective as had been hoped, and Tom Glocer and Devon Wenig left the business. And the integration took longer, cost more, and and was less effective than hoped.
The Eikon programme began in the teeth of a recession, and far from being the competitive lynchpin became an expensive passenger until it really began to get some momentum in the past two years. Integration of the three parts into a corporate whole has been slow. Data is still largely siloed and across the board joint developments are few. If the businesses are to split up then it makes sense to do it before parts of the group start mixing each other’s data seriously in new product development.
Growth has been elusive. With average growth in the mature businesses in the 2-3% range post-recession, earnings and market ratings have been subdued. The sole bright spot has been the rapid rise of Risk and Compliance, now with growth rates in the 15-18 % range. However, nothing Thomson Reuters were doing seemed likely to unlock rapid growth elsewhere.
Corporate attitudes tend to get entrenched around getting the numbers, and thus feeding the sales and operational management incentive schemes that are based upon them. While Jim Smith and his senior colleagues were clearly up for the challenge of digital in a data driven networked world, the ship they were piloting was sluggish and not particularly responsive to calls to go beyond satisfying the performance requirement. This is not to say that Thomson Reuters were not innovative. From Open Calais to Project BOLD they often set industry standards and showed real insight into the needs of their digital customers. But has this innovation reached deep into their operating divisions, and done so fast enough to engage their customers in a way that changes the nature of their work? For Thomson Reuters the answer must be, as for many of their peers “sometimes, not often, too slowly, and less often than start-ups less encumbered by history and performance expectations”.
The Woodbridge Trust is a family vehicle. No other siblings or their descendants work with Thomson Reuters other than David Thomson, as non-Executive Chairman and owner. The trust had expectations of growth and performance that were almost certainly not being met. It is easy to envisage the way in which this put pressure on the chairman and induced a radical change of direction. As indicated above, the Thomson family have never been wedded to particular businesses (minor exceptions would be Janes Defence Group, now part of IHS Markit, and Arden Shakespeare, now part of Bloomsbury). But these are exceptions to the Roy Thomson ethic of leaving the management (and the editors) to get on with the job – and selling out or firing them if the results did not meet the promised performance.
So the final word under this heading may be a reflection on what may have been the owners view. He could with justice say he tried a massive merger to change market positioning, he tried a completely new management team, and he kept faith with their successors for a decade. He still does not have a satisfactory market recognition of the huge investments made, or the growth and margin improvement promised, or the competitive edge on Bloomberg. Time to go.
WHAT NEXT?
Thomson Reuters Financial Services and Risk will now be a separate business, though Woodbridge remain minority investors. Yet it is hard to see the former group ideas around corporate solutions surviving the changes. Thomson Law and Tax is a major stand alone business and can easily survive on its own, though it will need to move even further downstream into the digital solutions market, beyond even the place where the PLC acquisition took it, to maintain its competitiveness in a market where data is vital, but workflow solutions that intelligently take the work out of legal analysis are now commonplace at private practice level.
Both of these two groups, the one that now goes its way and the one that remains, have huge data problems. Silos and the need to enhance and enrich data are widespread issues all over the place. In future however they may be working to a different rhythm. Matching Bloomberg with Schwarzman is an ego battle that intrigues the markets, but suggests a fairly interesting ride for managers. The normal PE cycle – 2-3 years of firm friendship followed by the end of fund race for the line at all costs to get the 6X result, or whatever target has been set, may never take place here. Instead we could be chariot racing from day 1!
Will Woodbridge sell Law and Tax? If the criteria are now purely financial and performance driven, that must be a possibility. Tax would be easiest, having better numbers and a historically closer link to tax practice management and computation services. Both have huge problems with very large headcount preparing and updating documentation. RELX is likely to be blocked from bidding but there would be plenty of interest. Timing is everything. Woodbridge Trust may be well on its way to developing a PE model of its own.
Data remains a key asset in both entities. And in both places there is the problem of “platform” (by which I mean here the neutral software – managed context in which previously siloed data is held, remixed and made available to applications, sales outlets and clients). Much major work in both places mixes client data, third party data and Thomson data to create workflow and service solutions. Sometimes this is on client platforms solely, sometimes the data is in several places, and often Thomson try to host the solution and make it replicable to other clients. These shared platform environments will be a hot topic, until common platform solutions emerge.
In Thomas Mann’s influential 1901 novel Buddenbrooks, the wealthy family of a German grain merchant move through four generations, from a high level of entrepreneurial creativity, to management and maintenance, and then on to a greater interest in culture and the arts, supported by historic wealth. The Thomson family have only reached three generations in the Buddenbrooks sense, so comparisons are impossible, but research economists often use the expression Buddenbrooks Cycle to describe some of the complex issues of family ownership across time. Maybe it was just time to part.
Jan
15
New Dimensions Address Old Problems
Filed Under B2B, Big Data, Blog, data analytics, healthcare, Industry Analysis, Publishing, Reed Elsevier, Search, semantic web, STM, Workflow | Leave a Comment
In many parts of the Scholarly Communications world we have moved long past the milieu that Gene Garfield’s ushered in thirty years ago with the establishment of ISI and the impact factor . But conservative marketplaces have a long tail , much of the academic world is still firmly tied to the evaluative gold standard of the impact factor , and no one will be persuaded to do anything differently until they are also persuaded that it works . And it will take a long time to persuade people that a new governing metric is available , a platinum standard for distinguishing the highest quality of research over time , because a great deal of data has to be assembled and analysed before that can be accomplished . Yet leading voices in the sector , from funders and governments to researchers and librarians , continue to seek evaluation that includes all the available metrics , that allows places for network usage appraisal as well as the impact of blogs and tweets and posters and demonstrations , and which tries to draw a more holistic picture of the impact of a researcher or a research team .
And while we need tools like this for the benefit of funders and governments in making funding decisions , we are equally desperate to help researchers manage and discriminate amongst the tsunami of research publishing at the present time , and the and the wall of knowledge building up behind it as access to second tier research from a host of countries outside of Europe , the US and Japan supplements the very considerable research contribution of China , India , Brazil and other counties in recent years . And since we long ago lost sight of a specialist being able to read everything published in his sector in a year , we vitally need the data , and especially the metadata , which will enable us to summarise what we cannot read , apply standards where. We cannot form judgements , help us to derisk the issue of missing something significant and ensure that our literature reviews and our management of prior knowledge does not sink the research ship before we set of on the real voyage of discovery which takes place after the discovery of the known .
And we have been preparing ourselves for this for years and this is clear in commercial market movies over the last few years . When Clarivate Analytics , owners of Web of Science and thus the citation based world we have inherited , bought Publons , I have always imagined , since using the peer review data in this context will be very important . Equally , Elsevier began the whole long development track behind SciVal in order to use vital data from Scopus and elsewhere to begin this immense evaluative task . And Informa bought Colwiz and Wizdom.ai in order to get into the same boat . As of today, the boat is getting just a bit more crowded . The launch this morning of Dimensions , based on the funding data work of the existing Dimensions site at Digital Science , but now integrating data from six Digital Science companies , is a dramatic step and raises. the bar for all of its competitors . It teaches us something important about bringing data from a variety of sources in a way that gives users a new view with an enhanced utility and it shows how a publisher service like ReadCube can also be turned round to become a discovery engine in its own right . And with a marketing plan that starts from free access for researcher and moves through institutional fees at different levels of value it really accommodates itself to the prevailing culture around the costs of service provision .
This is a great start from which to build – and there is a long build yet to go . There is both geographical data and altmetrics data . Then there are the evaluative tools that will support research management in its urgent evaluation needs . Impressive as this aggregation is , there is more in front than there is behind . , But Dimensions certainly puts Digital Science in position . It is the first service development that makes Digital Science a company and not an incubator , andthis may be very important to its next steps . Like Clarivate , Digital Science is not a publisher . It there fore has Clarivate’s vital neutrality from the things that it is rating . Above all , it is a data and analytics company and was created to work in this research management space . A place where many publishers will try to struggle into as journal publishing , the cash cow of the 1990s , becomes a more and more difficult and less predictable marketplace .
Yet all of these players face one sobering difficulty. Building the foremest evaluative research engine is not like other competitive parts of this marketplace . A new standard is just that . Four competing standards help no one . Winner takes all , and after a time the prevailing system becomes supported by other people’s tools , and competition is reduced . This is not to say that there is not good business in providing researchers with good analytical tools , just that it is most likely that the successor to the impact factor will remain a single entity managed for tha market by one of these players – or by one we do not yet see coming , perhaps from the non-profit sector . In the meanwhile , “new “ dimensions should be celebrated , and not least by Holtzbrinck . If they do need to suck debt from Springer Nature post IPO then Digital Science is becoming a very valuable token for doing that and ensuring their majority position . If that does not happen , then they have a an asset with fast growing value in the group .
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